Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 223.503561 251.625668 282.893291 320.414031 364.449247 414.776266 477.054744
2024-10-20 180.329165 216.845263 261.041230 319.168651 394.657025 490.863979 625.216373
2024-10-27 150.853475 188.704145 236.942007 304.142525 397.335142 525.132554 719.390931
2024-11-03 139.894974 181.201591 236.326373 317.263769 436.620435 612.259098 902.774048
2024-11-10 132.401097 176.753964 238.381084 333.214900 481.145564 713.734939 1131.331837
2024-11-17 121.833635 166.529151 230.638025 333.073340 500.369629 778.394404 1314.169101
2024-11-24 110.823656 154.381780 218.488448 324.134531 503.415208 815.747403 1456.034694
2024-12-01 101.706554 144.088529 207.915035 316.078303 506.193390 852.300427 1605.017476
2024-12-08 97.581862 140.888677 207.826448 324.947474 539.381248 950.622579 1911.512444
2024-12-15 92.388719 135.525824 203.679759 326.226945 558.664311 1025.383753 2189.154573
2024-12-22 86.387656 128.375795 195.918638 320.143396 562.849956 1069.649035 2407.165988
2024-12-29 82.218518 123.842267 192.072521 320.596253 579.789035 1144.529950 2732.080580
2025-01-05 76.721986 116.867593 183.717717 312.200356 578.396999 1180.113425 2968.732202
2025-01-12 72.916969 112.466543 179.490607 311.258936 592.780449 1256.754207 3365.263300
2025-01-19 67.402858 104.790046 168.863539 296.679363 575.257719 1250.913997 3493.984368
2025-01-26 66.354465 104.697513 171.801824 309.394451 620.914601 1418.522575 4310.991265
2025-02-02 65.692697 105.210014 175.854736 324.843925 675.780572 1627.503656 5431.255566
2025-02-09 63.058811 102.024571 172.705845 324.706854 692.809422 1732.956062 6199.383876
2025-02-16 59.599767 97.137917 165.951010 316.049847 687.030563 1767.879558 6670.311761
2025-02-23 56.502974 92.740804 159.847012 308.245884 682.383049 1805.806279 7190.160299
2025-03-02 55.466279 92.076638 160.992584 316.837244 722.788480 2004.676958 8758.842928
2025-03-09 53.698114 89.935341 159.032559 318.076474 743.336094 2142.410110 10126.180371
2025-03-16 51.318753 86.507538 154.239840 312.183892 742.772907 2203.738655 11070.610721